Archive for March, 2007

Byron Nelson Championship: Welcome To Dallas

Wednesday, March 21st, 2007

Am I the only Jones out there who doesn’t think golf when he thinks Irving, Texas? Probably not. Fact is, a Bill Parcells press conference regarding Terrell Owens is likely more engaging than any presser we’ll get from the Byron Nelson Championship this week.

To say nothing of John Travolta playing J.R. Ewing in the movie Dallas. Is this true? Is John Travolta still alive? I think he’s in a pod circling the space station, grinning about something only he knows what, maybe black gold, oil that is, oh wait, wrong theme song….

The golf news of the week is that with his win at the Wachovia Championship, Jim Furyk is now ranked #5 in the world. This means Ernie Els is out, a remarkable turn of events because now the much anticipated Big-Five-way playoff in each of the majors can’t happen, because now it’s six. This means Pat Reilly is thinking copyright: Super Six. I called it first, he says. No, that won’t happen. He’s busy, and Super Six is lame. But it does raise the question of how far down the rankings the golf world will go to create competition among its top players where it doesn’t consistently exist.

What it really means is Furyk isn’t going to hit a putt with expedience any time soon. The good news is J Lo is playing Sue Ellen.

Here’s this week’s picks for the EDS Byron Nelson Championship. Odds are from WillHill.com:

Take Ernie Els (12-1), 1/3rd unit. In his last six tournaments he has three top-10s, dating to Doral. Maybe more importantly, he has three top-10s in his last three trips to Irving, Texas.

Take Camilo Villegas (80-1), 1/3rd unit. Maybe we got a little excited about this guy. He missed the cut last week. He putts too much. But he’s got the talent to win any day and he’s an SNL skit waiting to happen.

Take Bart Bryant (100-1), 1/3rd unit. Don’t forget about this Texan. He missed the cut last year. T48 in ‘04. Putting is a mess; moustache is not. The kind of equilibrium I like in a 100-1.

In the head-to-head, take Els to finish higher than Adam Scott (10-11), 2 units. I don’t think the Big Easy is going to be out of the top five for long, even as Scott is coming off a strong showing at Quail Hollow.

Winning at Online Slots - A Simple Guide to Winning Big Pots

Monday, March 19th, 2007

Winning at Online Slots is not easy, but you can do it. There are ways to tip the odds in your favor, instead of the casino, and that means winning the big jackpot.

Winning at online slots takes a bit of luck and some skill.

Here are 7 tips to get the odds in your favor and win at online slots.

1. Whatever you do, be cool!

Even though slots are really simple, you can lose you cool as you lose your money. So put aside only the money you can afford to lose, and when it’s gone, you must stop. Having lost, you will wish to get even, and your emotions will get the best of you. Don’t let that happen or you will never win at online slots.

2. Beware of playing “full coin”

When you see am “equal distribution” or “straight multiplier” slots, do not play the full coin option. Read the highest pay line, and look for : 100 coins for 1 coin; 200 coins for 2 coins; 300 coins for 3 coins. Adding in extra coins will actually get you nothing more.

Its just simple mathematics; as you play two or three times as much and will two or three times as much.

3. However, Always Play Maximum Coins of the Progressive Slots

To win the progressive jackpot, you are obliged to play the maximum coins. Not doing so you will only prime the slot machine for someone else. So if you want to win at progressive online slots play full coin and you could win the life changing jackpots.

4. Slot Cycles Do Not Exist!

There is no such thing as a slot cycle and there is no way to predict when a machine will pay. You may notice what appears to be winning and losing cycles, but it’s just the way the way you see it in hindsight you cant tell going forward. It’s a game of chance, not science.

Tossing a coin may reveal something that looks like a cycle, but the final result will be totally unpredictable. Each toss is unique and has no relation to the next toss.

As this applies to coin tossing, the same is true in slots.

5. Before you play, know the machine’s payouts.

There is no substitute here, if you want to win at online slots check the payouts. Read the game options, and understand what the bets mean. An increased bet may mean more chances of winning.

The more the chances of winning, the better the odds are in your favor.

6. Stay Away from the Small Bet Games

You will soon realize that the higher the bet, the more chances there are for you to win. Online slots is no different than the real casinos, and you need to get the maximum chance you can to win at online slots.

7. The Casino Usually Wins More than any other casino game, slot machines have the odds in favor of the casino.

There is a good reason for this, and that is in the size of the jackpots.

Those jackpot amounts have to come from somewhere, and it’s usually people feeding money to the machines.

So, keep your cool, decide what money you can lose, remember the other rules, and have a great time and maybe you will be lucky and win at online slots.

Gambling Las Vegas Style: Online and the Real Deal

Sunday, March 18th, 2007

The Vegas casino has reached mythical proportions. From the backstage and penthouse antics of the original Rat Pack to the remake of “Ocean’s Eleven;” from the hit “CSI: Crime Scene Investigation” to the TV series, “Las Vegas,” there is an endless fascination with all things related to the Vegas casino.

The obsession extends far beyond reading the tabloids and watching movies the silver screen. According to the Las Vegas Convention and Visitors Authority, Las Vegas draws over 37 million tourists each year, with an economic impact of over $33 billion. In 2003, the average gambling budget per trip was $545.

The World Series of Poker, held at Binion’s each year, draws a huge television audience and has spawned everything from televised celebrity poker tournaments to monthly poker magazines. Blackjack has never been more popular, and television series such as “Breaking Vegas” draw in viewers by drawing upon the history of those who tried to turn the odds in their favor using either legal or illegal means.

For those who can’t make it to a Vegas casino, or for those who like to dabble in gambling in between trips, an online casino is an attractive alternative. The technology behind today’s online casinos makes the online gaming experience similar to that of real gambling, only without the noise and the smoke. Often, an online casino will offer free money as a bonus incentive to make an initial deposit. Sometimes, an online casino will offer a free money sign-up bonus with no deposit required.

Today’s online casinos mimic real gambling in the variety of games they offer. Poker and blackjack are staples, as are a variety of slot machines and video poker games. Many online casinos also offer craps, roulette, and Crazy Harry. Gambling can be done in the privacy of your own home, but with real-time interaction with real players. Some online casinos offer both downloadable and Flash versions of the games, making online gambling accessible to virtually everyone.

Before signing up and making a deposit in an online casino, you should be sure to read about any bonuses you may be eligible to receive, the online casino’s deposit and withdrawal requirements, and their loyalty rewards. Look at the variety of games they have to offer, and make sure their offerings match your interests.

If you can’t go on a real gambling trip - or just have the itch in between trips - an online casino can offer you all of the fun of a Vegas casino without the hassle.

Olympic Sports Betting

Saturday, March 17th, 2007

Betting on the outcome of a sports event is a favorite pastime for many people. So when the Olympic Games are being played, you can be sure that there will be lots of betting taking place.

The bets here will not only be on individual teams for various sports but also on which country will ultimately finish with the maximum medals. Betting begins in earnest even before a single match has started.

Germany is currently listed as the favorite to pick up the most medals at the 2006 Winter Olympics in Torino. The Germans are followed by the United States and Norway. Another site lists Norway as the favorite at 11/10, followed by Germany at 5/4 and the United States at 11/5. For those more interested in betting on individual events, ice hockey is a great favorite, with Canada tipped as the favorite to win the gold at 11/10.

Before laying your bets, doing your homework is important. A good approach is to look at teams that are well-rounded with a good goaltender, stout defensemen, good penalty killers and players with scoring ability.

In an Olympic tournament, the strength of the draw is important, and you must go through this properly before placing your odds. In hockey, you must also consider the difference in rules between the National Hockey League (NHL) and Olympic Hockey. Remember not to take anything for granted, as it could be an important factor when it comes to the medal rounds.

These tournament match-up bets are not about who will win head-to-head, but rather which team will finish in a higher position at the end of the tourney, so be clear about that, and use it in your overall strategy.

There are high risks involved in taking bets for the Winter Olympics and therefore wagers are limited to $300 with no parlays. The Olympics are an event that the bookies are not very familiar and comfortable with. Therefore many shy away from taking big bets on the Olympics.

Online Poker Starting Hands? AHHHHHH Answered Boldly

Friday, March 16th, 2007

As an online poker professional and author of “How to Profit Consitently at Online Poker” I recieve many questions regarding online poker. The questions vary but generally are regarding the same subject. Most new players are looking for that magic key to be successfull. They get an idea in there head and believe they must stick to it like its the Holy Grail. There is NO magic Key, but there is a way to profit consitently.

The most popular question I get is “What starting hands should I play?”. I hate this question. There is no RIGHT answer. Ask me what starting hand should I play on the button in a no-limit $2-4 game with three callers and I have 300 chips left and I am playing at pacificpoker at the 2-4 table, with players Johnnyaces, 2totheflush and Icallalot, and its 2am…

Then I can give you a better answer! Sorry but thats the truth. There are no hands that I would always play or never play in diferent situations. And don’t get me wrong the decision isn’t that complex. My point is simply - Starting hands vary based on every situation.

If your main concern is What starting hands should you play than you are in trouble. Because this is not your problem. Your problem is you are under an incorrect impression that playing only certian hands in every situation is a way to win. Its NOT. The way to win is adjusting to each situation and playing based on that.

There are 2 ways to win:

1. Have the best hand

2. Represent the best hand and make everyone fold

So at times if you are in good position, or if there are few callers, or you sense weakness you have to take advantage of that and play hands you normaly may not. And it depends on the game. If you are in a Sit and Go Tournament VS’s a 10 person no-limit game your decision will difer also.

So my best advice:

Learn what works, learn yourself and learn your opponents and make your plays based on this information. If you want to be a better player you can, but it takes work. If you decide I only want to play Sit and Go Tournaments or only 10 person no-limit games then observe these games. Watch what the consistent winnners do and watch the mistakes the losers make. Then play, and takes notes of your investments and your profits and your reasons for success or failure. It will make you a better player.

The NAU Lumberjacks: Jacking Up Opponents

Thursday, March 15th, 2007

In college hoops, there are over 300 teams that play Division I basketball. And, unlike football, all of the teams have a chance to play for the National Championship in April. But like football, most of the national attention is given to the Big Six conferences. The attention is deserved; it’s been since that incredible 1990 UNLV Runnin’ Rebels team that someone from a non-BCS conference won the national title.

The lines are much sharper in those Big Six conference games because of the vast amounts of information the public has when it comes to those teams. Believe me, it’s tough to make a living beating the books by only playing major conference college basketball games. And by the time April rolls around you’ll likely be looking at a short stack.

However, there is a lot of money to be made by playing the mid-major conferences, especially some of the more obscure ones. If you dig deep and do your homework you can actually gain a sizeable advantage over square bettors by becoming an expert in some of the lesser-known leagues. In this article, we’re going to try to shed some light on an area of the college basketball landscape that not too many common bettors wander: the Big Sky Conference. And in particular we’re going to break down one team from the Big Sky that’s been filling up scoreboards and stat sheets, the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks.

This team from Flagstaff, Arizona is one of my favorite teams to play on as a handicapper with Doc’s Sports. In their 15 games this season they’ve scored over 90 points five times and have cracked the century mark on three occasions. The Lumberjacks played a brutal non-conference schedule that included games against Kansas, Arizona, Arizona State and UNLV. They actually went into Tempe and beat their in-state rivals, the Sun Devils, on Nov. 13, 75-71. Also, they are nearly unstoppable at The SkyDome, the same building where the NAU football team plays and where the Arizona Cardinals host their training camp. The Lumberjacks have been beaten just once at SkyDome, losing to Weber State in a game that NAU actually led at halftime.

In contrast to their difficult nonconference slate, the Lumberjacks have actually been very fortunate with their Big Sky schedule. Their first four league games were at home and here at Doc’s we’ve been able to cash in with the Jacks in three of those four contests. We’ve been partial to them in part because of the fact that their offense scores at such a high rate that they’re able to cover some monster numbers. They play a lot of guys – eight players average 15 minutes per game – and they love to get up and down the court.

Balance is the key for this squad, with Ruben Boykin leading the team in points with just over 16 per game. The 6-feet-7 forward does much of his damage inside and is the model of consistency, scoring in double figures twelve straight times. Tyrone Bazy, a senior guard from Texas that likes to beat his opponents off the dribble, is the main man on the perimeter. He has really come on of late, scoring 57 combined points in his last two conference games, and single handily earned us the victory against Eastern Washington last Saturday by shooting 71 percent from the field and 92 percent from the charity stripe. The balance of this team continues with four players averaging around double figures. All of this has allowed the Lumberjacks to be electric on offense, averaging over 81 points per game. And that number includes the Kansas game in which the Jacks managed just 57 points.

With such an outstanding team on offense, it may seem to some that this team would never lose, but that is not the case as they currently sit at 8-7 on the season. The tradeoff for scoring so many points is that their defense suffers. They lead the conference in turnovers, averaging over 19 per game. This is an astonishing number, considering they average just 18 assists per game. They play a gambling style of defense and already have over 100 steals on the young season. However, when they miss their opportunity it leads to easy baskets for the opposition. A perfect example of this style is their game against Eastern Washington. NAU shot 60 percent from the field – including a remarkable 73 percent from behind the arc – but only won the game by 8 points, 109-101.

Northern Arizona is one of my favorite teams to watch and you can expect to see their games as selections for the remainder of the year. This is a team you want to play at the SkyDome and play against when they are on the road. I would never play the under with them, regardless of how high the total is. Hopefully, we can continue to hit 75 percent on them!

Doc’s Sports is your one-stop shop for all your college basketball betting needs. We have gotten off to another good start to this season and we will be going with our, “Underdog Game of the Year” this Saturday, Jan. 13.

Poker Skills For Online Beginners

Wednesday, March 14th, 2007

Have you noticed that more and more inexperienced players are starting to try their hand at online Texas Hold’em? Have you noticed that many of these rookie players will start with their all-in nonsense, and when they show at the end of the pot, they show a three of clubs and seven of hearts?

With so many online UK poker rooms out on the market today, there really isn’t any good reason, not to play your best game of poker every time you log on. However, you will see some players come into the game with all of the patience of a six year old. They will jump all-in until somebody gets fed up, calls, and off they go to another table to repeat the sequence.

While the tips below won’t help you develop patience it will give you a large advantage over them.

1. NEVER play more than one game at a time. How do you think you can jump from one game to the next and still have the ability to study your opponents’ every move?

2. ALWAYS play good starting hands, such as the top 10 starting hands: AA, KK, QQ, AK, AQ, JJ, 10-10, 9-9, 8-8, 7-7

3. LEARN how seat position can play an important role in how you bet and when.

4. STUDY THE FLOP and make an informed decision before you bet. Ask yourself what the best possible hand is and consider whether or not your opponent has it!

5. SELDOM raise before the flop.

6. ALWAYS try to prevent your opponents from reading you. If you get into too many habits, you will be an easy read.

Finally, make your time at the tables count. Learn from the good players and the bad ones and improve your game every time you play.

Texas Hold’em Poker Tournaments - Get Ready For The 2007 WSOP

Tuesday, March 13th, 2007

The 2007 WSOP is going to be better than ever this year. Online poker players are winning their way into these big buy-in events with very little investment. Professionals are dedicating time to playing many events as the prize pools keep getting bigger and bigger. Anyone with a little poker skill, an online poker account, and a will to win has a shot at a bracelet. The 2007 WSOP will be taking place around July or August and it is going to be great. The month long event hosted at the Rio will attract the best poker players from around the world. Aside from the poker action, Las Vegas is a great place to party. Las Vegas offers non-stop poker, night-clubs, and the best customer service in the world.

Even if you don’t want to play poker, go to Vegas to watch the best players battle it out on the felt. Millions of dollars will be won this year and you can have your piece of the pie. Work on your poker game by playing online, reading books, discussing hands, and thinking about the game. It is going to take some work and dedication but it is worth it. If you win just one of these events, you stand to make at least six digits at the WSOP. Professional football and basketball are great, but you can compete in the World Series of Poker. It is the only game where amateurs get to play with the best. Get your game ready for this summer and win a WSOP bracelet.

BlackJack Rules

Monday, March 12th, 2007

The basic premise of the game is that you want to have a hand value that is closer to 21 than that of the dealer, without going over 21. Other players at the table are of no concern. Your hand is strictly played out against the hand of the dealer. The rules of play for the dealer are strictly dictated, leaving no decisions up to the dealer. Therefore, there is not a problem with the dealer or any of the other players at the table seeing the cards in your hand. Indeed, if you’re playing at a shoe game, the player cards are all dealt face up. In any event, when you’re just learning to play, don’t hesitate to show the dealer or other players your cards and ask questions.

Values of the cards In blackjack, the cards are valued as follows: An Ace can count as either 1 or 11, as demonstrated below. The cards from 2 through 9 are valued as indicated. The 10, Jack, Queen, and King are all valued at 10. The suits of the cards do not have any meaning in the game. The value of a hand is simply the sum of the point counts of each card in the hand. For example, a hand containing (5,7,9) has the value of 21. The Ace can be counted as either 1 or 11. You need not specify which value the Ace has. It’s assumed to always have the value that makes the best hand. An example will illustrate: Suppose that you have the beginning hand (Ace, 6). This hand can be either 7 or 17. If you stop there, it will be 17. Let’s assume that you draw another card to the hand and now have (Ace, 6, 3). Your total hand is now 20, counting the Ace as 11. Let’s backtrack and assume that you had instead drawn a third card which was an 8. The hand is now (Ace, 6, 8) which totals 15. Notice that now the Ace must be counted as only 1 to avoid going over 21.

A hand that contains an Ace is called a “soft” total if the Ace can be counted as either 1 or 11 without the total going over 21. For example (Ace, 6) is a soft 17. The description stems from the fact that the player can always draw another card to a soft total with no danger of “busting” by going over 21. The hand (Ace,6,10) on the other hand is a “hard” 17, since now the Ace must be counted as only 1, again because counting it as 11 would make the hand go over 21.

The deal of the cards Once all the bets are made, the dealer will deal the cards to the players. He’ll make two passes around the table starting at his left (your right) so that the players and the dealer have two cards each. (European and Australian players: See exception at the bottom of this section.) The dealer will flip one of his cards over, exposing its value.

In the shoe games, the players cards will be dealt face-up, and the players are not allowed to touch the cards. If you’re just beginning, you’ll probably want to start at the shoe game where you don’t have to worry about handling the cards.

In the hand-held games, the player’s cards are dealt face down, and the players pick up the cards. When handling the cards in a hand-held game, here are a few important things to remember.

You are only allowed to touch the cards with one hand. If you’re a poker player, this can take some effort to break old habits! You must keep the cards over the table. Any cards that the dealer subsequently deals to your hand must be left on the table, not added to the cards in your hand. Once the cards are dealt, play proceeds around the table, starting at the first seat to the dealer’s left, also called first base. Each player in turn indicates to the dealer how he wishes to play the hand. The various player decisions are covered in their own section below. After each player has finished his hand, the dealer will complete his hand, and then pay or collect the player bets.

Now, the exception I mentioned: Some casinos, mostly in Europe, give the dealer only one card face up until all the players have finished their hands. The dealer then deals his second card, and finishes his hand. This is called the European No Hole Card rule. This can change a player’s strategy if, and only if, the dealer collects all player bets in the event of a dealer blackjack. Some casinos that deal only one card at first to the dealer will refund any double-down or split bets if the dealer turns out to have a blackjack. This type of no hole card rule does not have any effect on the player’s optimal strategy, and should not be described as European No Hole Card rules.

How the dealer plays his hand The dealer must play his hand in a specific way, with no choices allowed. There are two popular rule variations that determine what totals the dealer must draw to. In any given casino, you can tell which rule is in effect by looking at the blackjack tabletop. It should be clearly labeled with one of these rules:

“Dealer stands on all 17s”: This is the most common rule. In this case, the dealer must continue to take cards (”hit̶ ;) until his total is 17 or greater. An Ace in the dealer’s hand is always counted as 11 if possible without the dealer going over 21. For example, (Ace 8) would be 19 and the dealer would stop drawing cards (”stand”). Also, (Ace,6) is 17 and again the dealer will stand. (Ace,5) is only 16, so the dealer would hit. He will continue to draw cards until the hand’s value is 17 or more. For example, (Ace,5,7) is only 13 so he hits again. (Ace,5,7,5) makes 18 so he would stop (”stand̶ ;) at that point. “Dealer hits soft 17″: Some casinos use this rule variation instead. This rule is identical except for what happens when the dealer has a soft total of 17. Hands such as (Ace,6), (Ace,5,Ace), and (Ace, 2, 4) are all examples of soft 17. The dealer hits these hands, and stands on soft 18 or higher, or hard 17 or higher. When this rule is used, the house advantage against the players is slightly increased. Again, the dealer has no choices to make in the play of his hand. He cannot split pairs, but must instead simply hit until he reaches at least 17 or busts by going over 21.

What is a Blackjack, or a natural? A blackjack, or natural, is a total of 21 in your first two cards. A blackjack is therefore an Ace and any ten-valued card, with the additional requirement that these be your first two cards. If you split a pair of Aces for example, and then draw a ten-valued card on one of the Aces, this is not a blackjack, but rather a total of 21. The distinction is important, because a winning blackjack pays the player odds of 3 to 2. A bet of $10 wins $15 if the player makes a blackjack. A player blackjack beats any dealer total other than a dealer’s blackjack, including a dealer’s regular 21. If both a player and the dealer make blackjack, the hand is a tie or push.

The dealer will usually pay your winning blackjack bet immediately when it is your turn to play. In the face down games, this means that you should show the blackjack to the dealer at that time. Some casinos may postpone paying the blackjack until after the hand is over if the dealer has a 10 card up and has not checked for a dealer blackjack. Other casinos check under both 10 and Ace dealer upcards, and would therefore pay the blackjack immediately. Regardless, when you are dealt a blackjack, turn the cards face up, and smile. It only happens about once every 21 hands, but it accounts for a lot of the fun of the game.

The Player’s Choices Surrender We start with one of the least common decisions, but it is appropriate to begin with surrender, because this decision must be made before any other choice about playing your hand. Not every game offers surrender, and those that do fall into two categories which bear expanation: Early vs Late.

Surrender offers you as a player the choice to fold your hand, at the cost of half of the original bet. You must make that decision prior to taking any other action on the hand. For example, once you draw a third card, or split, or double down, surrender is no longer an option.

The two varieties of surrender, early and late, differ only in the way a dealer blackjack is handled. In an early surrender game, a player may choose to surrender before the dealer checks his cards for a blackjack, offering a cheap way out even if the dealer turns out to have a blackjack. Because this offers a healthy advantage to the player, this version (early surrender) is rarely offered. The much more common variation is late surrender, where the dealer checks for blackjack first, and then only if he does not have blackjack will allow players to surrender their hands.

Surrender is a nice rule to have available for players who use it wisely. Unfortunately, many players surrender far too many hands. If you play in a game with surrender, use the Strategy Engine to determine when surrender is the appropriate play. To see how bad a hand must be to properly be surrendered, consider the following: To lose less with surrender, you must be only 25% likely to win the hand (ignoring pushes). That is, if you lose 75% of the time, and win only 25% of the time, your net loss is about 50% of your bets, equal to the amount you’ll lose guaranteed by surrendering. So, learn to use the surrender option, but make sure you know when it is appropriate.

It’s worth mentioning again that the vast majority of surrender is LATE surrender, after the dealer checks for BJ. Make sure you choose the right option over on the Strategy Engine. And if you do find a game that offers early surrender, drop me a note. Good opportunities like that are rare.

Hitting/Standing The most common decision a player must make during the game is whether to draw another card to the hand (”hit”), or stop at the current total (”stand”). The method you use to indicate your decisions to the dealer depend on which kind of game you are playing.

In the face-up shoe game, you indicate that you want another card by tapping the table behind your cards with a finger. You’ll be required to make the hand signals, rather than just announcing “hit” or “stand” to the dealer. This is to eliminate any confusion or ambiguity in what you choose, and also for the benefit of the ever-present surveillance cameras. If you go over 21, or “bust”, the dealer will collect your bet, and remove your cards from the table immediately. When you decide to stand, just wave your hand in a horizontal motion over your cards.

In the face-down game, things are a little different. You’ll hold the first two cards with one hand. To draw another card to your hand, simply scrape your cards across the table felt lightly. Watch another player at first to see how this works. The dealer will deal your additional cards on the table in front of your bet. Add them to your total hand value, but leave the actual cards on the table. If you go over 21, just toss the two cards in your hand face up on the table. The dealer will collect your bet, and discard your hand. When you decide to stand, you should tuck the two cards you are holding face-down under the chips that you have bet. This can be a bit tricky the first few times. Don’t pick up the bet to place the cards underneath. Remember, once the cards are dealt, you can’t touch the chips in the circle. Simply slide the corner of the cards under the chips.

The descriptions are a lot tougher than the actual play. Just pay attention to what other players are doing and you’ll fit right in.

Doubling Down Among the more profitable player options available is the choice to “double down”. This can only be done with a two card hand, before another card has been drawn. Doubling down allows you to double your bet and receive one, and only one, additional card to the hand. A good example of a doubling opportunity is when you hold a total of 11, say a (6,5) against a dealer’s upcard of 5. In this case, you have a good chance of winning the hand by drawing one additional card, so you might as well increase your bet in this advantageous situation. If you are playing in a face-down game, just toss the two cards face-up on the table in front of your bet. In either type of game, add an additional bet to the betting circle. Place the additional bet adjacent to the original bet, not on top of it. The dealer will deal one additional card to the hand. In the face-down game, he’ll probably tuck it face-down under your bet, to be revealed later.

Players are allowed to double down for any amount up to the original bet amount, so you could double down “for less” if you wanted. Just remember that you do give up something for being allowed to increase your bet: the ability to draw more than one additional card. If the correct play is to double down, you should always double for the full amount if possible.

Splitting Pairs When you are dealt a matching pair of cards (remember, ignore the suits), you have the ability to split the hand into two separate hands, and play them independently. Let’s say you are dealt a pair of eights for a total of sixteen. Sixteen is the worst possible player hand, since it is unlikely to win as is, but is very likely to bust if you draw to it. Here’s a great chance to improve a bad situation.

If you are playing a hand-held game, toss the cards face-up in front of your bet just like a double down. Then, in either type of game, place a matching bet beside the original bet in the circle. Note that you must bet the same amount on a split, unlike a double-down, where you are allowed to double for less. The dealer will separate the two cards, and treat them as two independent hands. Let’s say you draw a 3 on the first 8, for a total of 11. Many casinos will allow you to double down on that hand total of 11 at this point. When this is allowed, the rule is called “Double after Split”, predictably enough. Regardless, you can play the first hand to completion, at which point the dealer will deal a second card to the second hand, and you can begin making play decisions on it.

If you get additional pairs (in the first two cards of a hand), most casinos will allow you to resplit, making yet another hand. The most common rule allows a player to split up to 3 times, making 4 separate hands, with 4 separate bets. If double after split is allowed, you could have up to 8 times your initial bet on the table if you chose! Some casinos restrict resplitting, and some allow unlimited splitting. Another fine point is that you are allowed to split any 10-valued cards, so you could split a (Jack, Queen) hand. However, this is usually a bad play: Keep the 20.

The other complication for pair splits concerns splitting Aces. Splitting Aces is a very strong player move, so the casino restricts you to drawing only one additional card on each Ace. Also, if you draw a ten-valued card on one of your split Aces, the hand is not considered a Blackjack, but is instead treated as a normal 21, and therefore does not collect 3:2 odds. Some casinos allow resplitting Aces if you draw another, while many do not allow resplitting Aces although they often do allow resplitting of any other pairs. With all these restrictions, you may wonder whether it makes sense to split Aces. The answer is a resounding YES. Always split pairs of Aces.

Insurance and Even Money Insurance is perhaps the least understood of all the commonly available rules for Blackjack. This is not necessarily a bad thing because the insurance bet is normally a poor bet for the player, with a high house advantage. However, that’s not always the case. So, here we go:

If the dealer turns an up-card of an Ace, he will offer “Insurance” to the players. Insurance bets can be made by betting up to half your original bet amount in the insurance betting stripe in front of your bet. The dealer will check to see if he has a 10-value card underneath his Ace, and if he does have Blackjack, your winning Insurance bet will be paid at odds of 2:1. You’ll lose your original bet of course (unless you also have a Blackjack), so the net effect is that you break even (assuming you bet the full half bet for insurance.) This is why the bet is described as “insurance”, since it seems to protect your original bet against a dealer blackjack. Of course, if the dealer does not have blackjack, you’ll lose the insurance bet, and still have to play the original bet out.

In the simplest description, Insurance is a side-bet, where you are offered 2:1 odds that the dealer has a 10-valued card underneath (”in the hole”). A quick check of the odds yields this: In a single deck game, there are 16 ten-valued cards. Assuming that you don’t see any other cards, including your own, the tens compose 16 out of 51 remaining cards after the dealer’s Ace was removed. For the insurance bet to be a break-even bet, the hole card would have to be a ten 1 out of 3 times, but 16/51 is only 1 in 3.1875.

The situation is often thought to be different when you have a Blackjack. The dealer is likely to offer you “even money” instead of the insurance bet. This is just the same old insurance bet with a simplification thrown in. Let’s ignore the “even money” name, and look at what happens when you insure a Blackjack. Let’s say you bet $10, and have a Blackjack. You would normally collect $15 for this, unless the dealer also has a blackjack, in which case you push or tie. Let’s assume that the dealer has an Ace up, and you decide to take insurance for the full amount, or $5. Now, two things can happen: 1) The dealer has a Blackjack. I tie with the $10, but collect 2:1 on the $5 insurance bet for a total profit of $10. 2) The dealer does not have Blackjack. I lose the $5, but collect $15 for my BJ. Total profit, again $10. In either case, once I make the insurance bet, I’m guaranteed a profit of $10, or even money for my original bet. So, casinos allow me to eliminate the insurance bet altogether, and simply declare that I want even money for my blackjack when the dealer has an Ace showing.

You’re probably thinking that sounds like a pretty good deal. You’re guaranteed a profit even if the dealer does have Blackjack. Just remember that the guaranteed profit comes at a price. You’ll win more money in the long run by holding out for the $15, even though you’ll sometimes end up empty-handed. Nonetheless, many players are adamant that they prefer to take even money when offered. Just be aware that you’re costing yourself money when you make that choice.

The basic strategy player should simply never take the insurance bet, even the “even money” variety. Card counters on the other hand can often detect situations where more than one-third of the remaining cards are ten-valued, and the bet is then a profitable one. So, unless you know the bet is favorable, just ignore it.

No-Limit Texas Hold’em Poker- Who is Howard Lederer?

Sunday, March 11th, 2007

Howard Lederer grew up in a family of five where he enjoyed playing various card games at a young age. He found himself getting really competitive in these card games while playing his father. After graduating from high school, Howard decided to put college on hold for a bit and moved to New York to play some serious chess. While playing chess, he was introduced to a poker game going on in the back of the room. Howard’s first two years were tough as he would play many hours and lose most times. He made some extra cash by being an assistant for the poker players. He believed he could improve his game by balancing his life outside of poker. He made an effort to get more sleep and focus more on the game.

The real improvement in his game happened when he started playing at the Mayfair Club in New York. The Mayfair was a bridge and backgammon club where the best players would often compete against each other. He had access into some of the greatest minds of chess players. With their help, he would hone his strategic thinking skills. He applied these strategy concepts to the game of No-Limit Texas Holdem. Some of the early players included Dan Harrington, Steve Zolotow, Jay Heimowitz, and Erik Seidel.

Howard also helped his sister Annie Duke learn the game of poker. She was an excellent student of the game as she would always be asking questions about how to make the proper decision. Howard told Annie to move out to Las Vegas and play in the WSOP tournaments. She is one of the best female players the poker world has ever seen. Howard moved to Las Vegas in 1993 and played cash games for the next decade. When the WPT gained popularity, he decided to play more tournaments He is enjoying the good life in Las Vegas with his wife Suzie and seven year-old son Mattias.